CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
10-3-0 | Road
5
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
9-3-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 2.00 | 0.938 | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 9.15 | 0.810 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
9.15
0.938 Ldr
Save %
0.810
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
HURRICANES
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
30.9%
VGK By 1 goal
11.3%
VGK By 2-3 goals
8.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
4.25
CAROLINA
Vegas
3.12
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
CAR @ VGK
3 - 0
Jun 11, 2026
VGK @ CAR
2 - 4
Jun 9, 2026
CAR @ VGK
5 - 3
Jun 6, 2026
CAR @ VGK
4 - 5
Jun 4, 2026
VGK @ CAR
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.2%
Carolina: 52.0%
vs
Vegas: 49.8%
Hits (L5)
+50.8% more
Vegas: 21.1
vs
Carolina: 14.0
Takeaways (L5)
+39.8% more
Vegas: 6.6
vs
Carolina: 4.8
Power Play % (L5)
+13.0%
Vegas: 27.9%
vs
Carolina: 14.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
4.3
5
VGK Score
3.1
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.9 / 12.7
14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 52.0
40.3 / 59.7
Hits
21.1 / 14.0
27.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
27.9 / 14.9
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.3 / 31.1
32.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 4.8
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CAR
VGK
CAR
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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