PHILADELPHIA
EAGLESPHI
3-2 | Road
28
NEW YORK
GIANTSNYG
2-4 | Home
3
Key Game
KEY GAME
Braden Mann
#10 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Dru Phillips
#22 | Cornerback| Player | |
|---|---|
| Braden Mann | None-None |
| Dru Phillips | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
GIANTS
0%
EAGLES
--
GIANTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
28.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYG -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)
PHI By 1-6 points
15.3%
PHI By 7-13 points
13.1%
NYG By 1-6 points
17.0%
NYG By 7-13 points
17.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
13.02
PHILADELPHIA
New York
15.89
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
20
PHILADELPHIA
New York
27
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Giants
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Giants
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Giants (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.9
D
Sim
Giants (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 28.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 26, 2025
NYG @ PHI
20 - 38
Oct 9, 2025
PHI @ NYG
17 - 34
Jan 5, 2025
NYG @ PHI
13 - 20
Oct 20, 2024
PHI @ NYG
28 - 3
Jan 7, 2024
PHI @ NYG
10 - 27
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5)
+10.7% more
New York: 21.1
vs
Philadelphia: 19.1
Time of Possession (L5)
+8.0% more
New York: 0.6
vs
Philadelphia: 0.5
Rushing Yards (L5)
+11.9% more
Philadelphia: 130.2
vs
New York: 114.7
Yards Per Play (L5)
+10.9% more
Philadelphia: 5.5
vs
New York: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
13.0
28
NYG Score
15.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
21.1 / 19.1
10.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards
220.8 / 216.2
43.0 / 70.0
Rushing Yards
114.7 / 130.2
76.0 / 269.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.21 / 0.08
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.5
0.41 / 0.59
Total Yards
335.5 / 346.4
119.0 / 339.0
Turnovers
1.1 / 1.3
0.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play
4.9 / 5.5
2.2 / 5.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: -0.1
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
PHI
NYG
PHI
ML
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
ATS
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
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