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PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

4-2  |  Road

37
FINAL
Sun, Oct 27 • 1:00 PM ET
Paycor Stadium
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

3-4  |  Home

17
Key Game
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
@
Evan McPherson
KEY GAME

Evan McPherson

#2 | Place kicker
Player
Braden Mann None-None
Evan McPherson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
BENGALS
100%
EAGLES --
BENGALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.1
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.1 points (Philadelphia)
EaglesPHI (-3.5) 0 BengalsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

61.5%

Bengals Cover

38.5%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around PHI -4.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-6 points

17.0%

PHI By 7-13 points

18.1%

CIN By 1-6 points

14.7%

CIN By 7-13 points

12.0%

AI Model Projected Score
21.02
PHILADELPHIA
16.92
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
23
PHILADELPHIA
27
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bengals Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.1
D
Sim Bengals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 37.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2026 CIN @ PHI 30 - 13
Oct 27, 2024 PHI @ CIN 37 - 17
Sep 27, 2020 CIN @ PHI 23 - 23
Dec 4, 2016 PHI @ CIN 14 - 32
Dec 13, 2012 CIN @ PHI 34 - 13
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +48.1% more
Philadelphia: 176.5 vs Cincinnati: 91.6
Turnovers (L5) +20.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.8 vs Cincinnati: 0.6
First Downs (L5) +12.1% more
Philadelphia: 19.4 vs Cincinnati: 17.0
Total Yards (L5) +9.0% more
Philadelphia: 344.0 vs Cincinnati: 313.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 21.0 37
CIN Score 16.9 17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.0 / 19.4 18.0 / 24.0
Net Passing Yards 221.4 / 167.5 222.0 / 236.0
Rushing Yards 91.6 / 176.5 58.0 / 161.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.77 / 0.55
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 313.0 / 344.0 280.0 / 397.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 0.8 2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.4 / 5.4 4.8 / 6.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
CIN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
PHI
CIN
PHI
ML
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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