TENNESSEE
TITANSTEN
1-5 | Road
14
DETROIT
LIONSDET
5-1 | Home
52
Key Game
KEY GAME
Hendon Hooker
#16 | Quarterback@
KEY GAME
Jack Fox
#3 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Hendon Hooker | None-None |
| Jack Fox | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
LIONS
0%
TITANS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DET -3.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
TEN By 1-6 points
15.0%
TEN By 7-13 points
12.5%
DET By 1-6 points
17.0%
DET By 7-13 points
17.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee
21.93
TENNESSEE
Detroit
25.47
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Tennessee
21
TENNESSEE
Detroit
24
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.5
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 47.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 27, 2024
TEN @ DET
14 - 52
Dec 20, 2020
DET @ TEN
25 - 46
Sep 18, 2016
TEN @ DET
16 - 15
Sep 23, 2012
DET @ TEN
41 - 44
Nov 27, 2008
TEN @ DET
47 - 10
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+72.3% more
Detroit: 263.2
vs
Tennessee: 152.7
Yards Per Play (L5)
+57.3% more
Detroit: 6.9
vs
Tennessee: 4.4
Total Yards (L5)
+57.2% more
Detroit: 415.7
vs
Tennessee: 264.5
Rushing Yards (L5)
+36.4% more
Detroit: 152.5
vs
Tennessee: 111.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEN Score
21.9
14
DET Score
25.5
52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
22.5 / 17.3
17.0 / 23.0
Net Passing Yards
263.2 / 152.7
61.0 / 258.0
Rushing Yards
152.5 / 111.8
164.0 / 158.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.3
0.33 / 0.27
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.41 / 0.59
Total Yards
415.7 / 264.5
225.0 / 416.0
Turnovers
0.7 / 1.7
0.0 / 4.0
Yards Per Play
6.9 / 4.4
4.8 / 5.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEN
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
DET
Advantage
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: -5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEN
Advantage
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
DET
0-3-1
(0.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: -5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -5.5
DET
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0%
Total +/-: +10.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
TEN
DET
TEN
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1-1
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
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