BALTIMORE
RAVENSBAL
5-2 | Road
24
CLEVELAND
BROWNSCLE
1-6 | Home
29
Key Game
KEY GAME
Broderick Washington Jr.
#96 | Defensive Tackle@
KEY GAME
Corey Bojorquez
#13 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Broderick Washington Jr. | None-None |
| Corey Bojorquez | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAVENS
0%
BROWNS
100%
RAVENS
--
BROWNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
38.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.9
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.9 points (Baltimore)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around BAL -8.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)
BAL By 1-6 points
15.8%
BAL By 7-13 points
19.7%
CLE By 1-6 points
11.5%
CLE By 7-13 points
8.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Baltimore
23.48
BALTIMORE
Cleveland
14.54
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Baltimore
20
BALTIMORE
Cleveland
24
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ravens
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Browns
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Ravens (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.9
D
Sim
Browns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 38.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
BAL @ CLE
23 - 16
Sep 14, 2025
CLE @ BAL
17 - 41
Jan 4, 2025
CLE @ BAL
10 - 35
Oct 27, 2024
BAL @ CLE
24 - 29
Nov 12, 2023
CLE @ BAL
33 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+57.5% more
Baltimore: 211.5
vs
Cleveland: 89.9
Yards Per Play (L5)
+45.7% more
Baltimore: 7.9
vs
Cleveland: 4.3
Total Yards (L5)
+42.3% more
Baltimore: 476.5
vs
Cleveland: 275.2
First Downs (L5)
+35.8% more
Baltimore: 24.5
vs
Cleveland: 15.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BAL Score
23.5
24
CLE Score
14.5
29
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
15.8 / 24.5
22.0 / 22.0
Net Passing Yards
185.3 / 265.0
321.0 / 263.0
Rushing Yards
89.9 / 211.5
80.0 / 124.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.5
0.53 / 0.2
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards
275.2 / 476.5
401.0 / 387.0
Turnovers
1.2 / 1.0
1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play
4.3 / 7.9
6.1 / 6.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
CLE
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
CLE
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +5.0
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
BAL
CLE
BAL
ML
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2-1
50%
2-2
100%
3-0-1
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
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