Home / NFL Projections NFL / Commanders @ Giants WSH @ NYG

WASHINGTON

COMMANDERSWSH

6-2  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Nov 3 • 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-6  |  Home

22
Key Game
Tress Way
KEY GAME

Tress Way

#10 | Punter
@
Deonte Banks
KEY GAME

Deonte Banks

#2 | Cornerback
Player
Tress Way None-None
Deonte Banks None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COMMANDERS
0%
📊
GIANTS
100%
COMMANDERS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
35.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Washington)
CommandersWSH (-3.5) 0 GiantsNYG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Commanders Cover

54.7%

Giants Cover

45.3%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around WSH -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

WSH By 1-6 points

16.8%

WSH By 7-13 points

16.6%

NYG By 1-6 points

15.9%

NYG By 7-13 points

14.1%

AI Model Projected Score
18.73
WASHINGTON
17.07
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
20
WASHINGTON
24
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Commanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Commanders (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.7
D
Sim Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 35.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 WSH @ NYG 29 - 21
Sep 7, 2025 NYG @ WSH 6 - 21
Nov 3, 2024 WSH @ NYG 27 - 22
Sep 15, 2024 NYG @ WSH 18 - 21
Nov 19, 2023 NYG @ WSH 31 - 19
Key Model Drivers
Yards Per Play (L5) +27.0% more
Washington: 6.4 vs New York: 4.6
Rushing Yards (L5) +26.5% more
Washington: 163.5 vs New York: 120.2
Total Yards (L5) +26.0% more
Washington: 414.8 vs New York: 306.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +25.7% more
Washington: 251.4 vs New York: 186.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 18.7 27
NYG Score 17.1 22
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.3 / 22.5 25.0 / 21.0
Net Passing Yards 186.7 / 251.4 162.0 / 209.0
Rushing Yards 120.2 / 163.5 164.0 / 149.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.55 / 0.42
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards 306.9 / 414.8 326.0 / 358.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 0.4 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 4.6 / 6.4 5.5 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.5 ATS +/-: -2.6
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.5 ATS +/-: -2.6
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +6.9
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
WSH
NYG
WSH
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
ATS
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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