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JACKSONVILLE

JAGUARSJAX

2-6  |  Road

23
FINAL
Sun, Nov 3 • 4:05 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

5-2  |  Home

28
Key Game
Logan Cooke
KEY GAME

Logan Cooke

#9 | Punter
@
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
Player
Logan Cooke None-None
Braden Mann None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
JAGUARS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
40.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (Philadelphia)
JaguarsJAX (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

37.0%

Eagles Cover

63.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

JAX By 1-6 points

14.4%

JAX By 7-13 points

11.6%

PHI By 1-6 points

16.9%

PHI By 7-13 points

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
18.03
JACKSONVILLE
22.66
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
20
JACKSONVILLE
27
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.6
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 40.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2024 JAX @ PHI 23 - 28
Oct 2, 2022 JAX @ PHI 21 - 29
Oct 28, 2018 PHI @ JAX 24 - 18
Sep 7, 2014 JAX @ PHI 17 - 34
Sep 26, 2010 PHI @ JAX 28 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +48.9% more
Philadelphia: 171.3 vs Jacksonville: 115.0
Turnovers (L5) +59.0% more
Jacksonville: 1.3 vs Philadelphia: 0.6
Net Passing Yards (L5) +22.3% more
Jacksonville: 245.1 vs Philadelphia: 190.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JAX Score 18.0 23
PHI Score 22.7 28
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.9 / 19.5 21.0 / 14.0
Net Passing Yards 190.3 / 245.1 210.0 / 155.0
Rushing Yards 171.3 / 115.0 237.0 / 60.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.53 / 0.3
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.64 / 0.36
Total Yards 361.6 / 360.1 447.0 / 215.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 1.3 1.0 / 3.0
Yards Per Play 5.8 / 6.2 6.1 / 4.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 12.8 ATS +/-: +11.1
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 12.8 ATS +/-: +11.1
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -7.1
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
JAX
PHI
JAX
ML
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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