Home / NFL Projections NFL / Bengals @ Ravens CIN @ BAL

CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

4-5  |  Road

34
FINAL
Thu, Nov 7 • 8:15 PM ET
M&T Bank Stadium
View Odds Details →

BALTIMORE

RAVENSBAL

6-3  |  Home

35
Key Game
Ryan Rehkow
KEY GAME

Ryan Rehkow

#8 | Punter
@
Nate Wiggins
KEY GAME

Nate Wiggins

#2 | Cornerback
Player
Ryan Rehkow None-None
Nate Wiggins None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
📊
RAVENS
0%
BENGALS --
RAVENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
56.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.6
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.6 points (Baltimore)
BengalsCIN (-3.5) 0 RavensBAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

29.3%

Ravens Cover

70.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around BAL -7.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)

CIN By 1-6 points

12.4%

CIN By 7-13 points

9.1%

BAL By 1-6 points

16.3%

BAL By 7-13 points

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
24.65
CINCINNATI
32.26
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
24
CINCINNATI
27
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ravens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ravens Win
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ravens (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.6
D
Sim Ravens (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 56.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 BAL @ CIN 24 - 0
Nov 27, 2025 CIN @ BAL 32 - 14
Nov 7, 2024 CIN @ BAL 34 - 35
Oct 6, 2024 BAL @ CIN 41 - 38
Nov 16, 2023 CIN @ BAL 20 - 34
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +69.1% more
Baltimore: 163.9 vs Cincinnati: 96.9
Yards Per Play (L5) +39.0% more
Baltimore: 7.3 vs Cincinnati: 5.3
Total Yards (L5) +32.0% more
Baltimore: 429.8 vs Cincinnati: 325.7
First Downs (L5) +19.2% more
Baltimore: 24.1 vs Cincinnati: 20.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 24.7 34
BAL Score 32.3 35
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 24.1 / 20.2 20.0 / 27.0
Net Passing Yards 265.9 / 228.7 290.0 / 421.0
Rushing Yards 163.9 / 96.9 99.0 / 49.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.58 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 429.8 / 325.7 389.0 / 470.0
Turnovers 0.4 / 1.1 0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 7.3 / 5.3 6.7 / 6.3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
BAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
BAL
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
CIN
BAL
CIN
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0-1
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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