Home / NFL Projections NFL / Giants @ Panthers NYG @ CAR

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-7  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sun, Nov 10 • 9:30 AM ET
Allianz Arena
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

2-7  |  Home

20
Key Game
Deonte Banks
KEY GAME

Deonte Banks

#2 | Cornerback
@
Claudin Cherelus
KEY GAME

Claudin Cherelus

#53 | Linebacker
Player
Deonte Banks None-None
Claudin Cherelus None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
GIANTS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
30.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New York)
GiantsNYG (-3.5) 0 PanthersCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

58.4%

Panthers Cover

41.6%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around NYG -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)

NYG By 1-6 points

17.0%

NYG By 7-13 points

17.4%

CAR By 1-6 points

15.3%

CAR By 7-13 points

13.0%

AI Model Projected Score
16.69
NEW YORK
13.73
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
20
NEW YORK
24
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 30.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2024 NYG @ CAR 17 - 20
Sep 18, 2022 CAR @ NYG 16 - 19
Oct 24, 2021 CAR @ NYG 3 - 25
Oct 7, 2018 NYG @ CAR 31 - 33
Dec 20, 2015 CAR @ NYG 38 - 35
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +32.3% more
New York: 134.8 vs Carolina: 91.3
First Downs (L5) +22.2% more
New York: 19.8 vs Carolina: 15.4
Total Yards (L5) +15.4% more
New York: 313.3 vs Carolina: 265.0
Turnovers (L5) +44.1% more
Carolina: 1.6 vs New York: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYG Score 16.7 17
CAR Score 13.7 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 15.4 / 19.8 15.0 / 24.0
Net Passing Yards 173.8 / 178.5 118.0 / 175.0
Rushing Yards 91.3 / 134.8 188.0 / 167.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.4 / 0.47
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards 265.0 / 313.3 306.0 / 342.0
Turnovers 1.6 / 1.1 1.0 / 3.0
Yards Per Play 4.8 / 4.9 5.3 / 4.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
CAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +11.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
NYG
CAR
NYG
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
ATS
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
TTL
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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