NEW YORK
JETSNYJ
3-6 | Road
6
ARIZONA
CARDINALSARI
5-4 | Home
31
Key Game
KEY GAME
Braiden McGregor
#55 | Defensive End@
KEY GAME
Blake Gillikin
#12 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Braiden McGregor | None-None |
| Blake Gillikin | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
CARDINALS
0%
JETS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
38.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.9
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.9 points (Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ARI -4.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
NYJ By 1-6 points
14.2%
NYJ By 7-13 points
11.3%
ARI By 1-6 points
16.9%
ARI By 7-13 points
18.5%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
16.8
NEW YORK
Arizona
21.71
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
New York
20
NEW YORK
Arizona
24
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.9
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 38.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2024
NYJ @ ARI
6 - 31
Oct 11, 2020
ARI @ NYJ
30 - 10
Oct 17, 2016
NYJ @ ARI
3 - 28
Dec 2, 2012
ARI @ NYJ
6 - 7
Sep 28, 2008
ARI @ NYJ
35 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+68.0% more
Arizona: 156.9
vs
New York: 93.4
Turnovers (L5)
+25.0% more
Arizona: 1.3
vs
New York: 1.0
Total Yards (L5)
+11.2% more
Arizona: 349.5
vs
New York: 314.4
Yards Per Play (L5)
+10.5% more
Arizona: 6.0
vs
New York: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYJ Score
16.8
6
ARI Score
21.7
31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
19.5 / 18.6
28.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards
192.6 / 221.0
259.0 / 128.0
Rushing Yards
156.9 / 93.4
147.0 / 79.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.71 / 0.46
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.55 / 0.46
Total Yards
349.5 / 314.4
406.0 / 207.0
Turnovers
1.3 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play
6.0 / 5.4
7.1 / 3.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYJ
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: +1.9
ARI
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYJ
Advantage
2-1-1
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: +1.9
ARI
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NYJ
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -4.3
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
NYJ
ARI
NYJ
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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