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BALTIMORE

RAVENSBAL

7-3  |  Road

16
FINAL
Sun, Nov 17 • 1:00 PM ET
Acrisure Stadium
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

STEELERSPIT

7-2  |  Home

18
Key Game
Adisa Isaac
KEY GAME

Adisa Isaac

#50 | Linebacker
@
Chris Boswell
KEY GAME

Chris Boswell

#9 | Place kicker
Player
Adisa Isaac None-None
Chris Boswell None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAVENS
100%
📊
STEELERS
0%
RAVENS --
STEELERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
56.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.1
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.1 points (Pittsburgh)
RavensBAL (-3.5) 0 SteelersPIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ravens Cover

21.5%

Steelers Cover

78.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PIT -11.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

BAL By 1-6 points

10.0%

BAL By 7-13 points

6.5%

PIT By 1-6 points

14.7%

PIT By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
22.55
BALTIMORE
33.6
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
20
BALTIMORE
24
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Steelers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Steelers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Steelers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.1
D
Sim Steelers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 56.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 4, 2026 BAL @ PIT 24 - 26
Dec 7, 2025 PIT @ BAL 27 - 22
Jan 11, 2025 PIT @ BAL 14 - 28
Dec 21, 2024 PIT @ BAL 17 - 34
Nov 17, 2024 BAL @ PIT 16 - 18
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +82.0% more
Pittsburgh: 1.1 vs Baltimore: 0.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +26.5% more
Baltimore: 273.9 vs Pittsburgh: 201.4
Yards Per Play (L5) +26.1% more
Baltimore: 7.1 vs Pittsburgh: 5.3
Total Yards (L5) +16.4% more
Baltimore: 416.2 vs Pittsburgh: 348.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BAL Score 22.6 16
PIT Score 33.6 18
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.1 / 22.8 18.0 / 16.0
Net Passing Yards 201.4 / 273.9 181.0 / 205.0
Rushing Yards 146.6 / 142.3 122.0 / 124.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.25 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 348.1 / 416.2 303.0 / 329.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 0.3 1.0 / 3.0
Yards Per Play 5.3 / 7.1 4.1 / 6.1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
PIT
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
PIT Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.0
PIT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
BAL
PIT
BAL
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0-1
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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