SEATTLE
SEAHAWKSSEA
4-5 | Road
20
SAN FRANCISCO
49ERSSF
5-4 | Home
17
Key Game
KEY GAME
Eric Saubert
#81 | Tight End@
KEY GAME
Jacob Cowing
#4 | Wide Receiver| Player | |
|---|---|
| Eric Saubert | None-None |
| Jacob Cowing | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
49ERS
0%
SEAHAWKS
--
49ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.5
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.5 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SF -7.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
SEA By 1-6 points
12.5%
SEA By 7-13 points
9.2%
SF By 1-6 points
16.3%
SF By 7-13 points
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
22.29
SEATTLE
San Francisco
29.81
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
Seattle
17
SEATTLE
San Francisco
27
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
49ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
49ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
49ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.5
D
Sim
49ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 52.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
SF @ SEA
6 - 41
Jan 3, 2026
SEA @ SF
13 - 3
Sep 7, 2025
SF @ SEA
17 - 13
Nov 17, 2024
SEA @ SF
20 - 17
Oct 10, 2024
SF @ SEA
36 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+67.0% more
San Francisco: 140.3
vs
Seattle: 84.0
Yards Per Play (L5)
+20.8% more
San Francisco: 6.7
vs
Seattle: 5.6
Total Yards (L5)
+17.4% more
San Francisco: 415.1
vs
Seattle: 353.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+14.0% more
San Francisco: 0.4
vs
Seattle: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
22.3
20
SF Score
29.8
17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
21.5 / 20.1
21.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards
274.8 / 269.5
146.0 / 195.0
Rushing Yards
140.3 / 84.0
131.0 / 94.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.3
0.64 / 0.46
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards
415.1 / 353.5
277.0 / 289.0
Turnovers
1.2 / 2.0
1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play
6.7 / 5.6
4.9 / 4.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +2.3
SF
Advantage
4-0-0
(100.0%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +9.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +2.3
SF
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +9.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
SEA
SF
SEA
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-2
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
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