CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
92-69 | Road
5
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
86-76 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
100%
TIGERS
0%
GUARDIANS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CLE By 1-2 runs
12.3%
CLE By 3-4 runs
6.8%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.2%
DET By 3-4 runs
19.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
2.32
CLEVELAND
Detroit
4.74
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.4
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
DET @ CLE
2 - 3
Sep 5, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 0
Sep 4, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 7
Aug 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
0 - 3
Aug 12, 2026
CLE @ DET
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+11.7% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+6.4% more
Detroit: 4.5
vs
Cleveland: 4.2
OPS (Season)
+2.4%
Detroit: 72.0%
vs
Cleveland: 69.6%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+2.0%
Detroit: 40.0%
vs
Cleveland: 38.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
2.3
5
DET Score
4.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.4 / 6.0
9.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.5
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.7 / 9.8
6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
9.5 / 9.1
14.0 / 18.0
Walks
2.2 / 3.4
1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
54%
86-73
54%
87-74
54%
87-73
49%
80-82
ATS
64%
101-58
58%
93-68
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
55%
88-71-2
46%
69-81-10
43%
69-90-2
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