DETROIT
TIGERSDET
86-76 | Road
3
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
92-69 | Home
7
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
GUARDIANS
100%
TIGERS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
19.0%
DET By 3-4 runs
14.7%
CLE By 1-2 runs
17.7%
CLE By 3-4 runs
12.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.61
DETROIT
Cleveland
3.23
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
DET @ CLE
2 - 3
Sep 5, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 0
Sep 4, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 7
Aug 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
0 - 3
Aug 12, 2026
CLE @ DET
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.46
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.241
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.320
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.720
▲
OPS
.696
181
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+10.5% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+6.1% more
Detroit: 4.5
vs
Cleveland: 4.2
OPS (Season)
+2.4%
Detroit: 72.0%
vs
Cleveland: 69.6%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+2.0%
Detroit: 40.0%
vs
Cleveland: 38.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.6
3
CLE Score
3.2
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.7 / 7.3
11.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.9 / 7.1
16.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
12.0 / 11.0
15.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.6 / 1.8
6.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
DET
CLE
DET
ML
54%
87-74
54%
86-73
49%
80-82
54%
87-73
ATS
58%
93-68
64%
101-58
59%
95-67
57%
91-69
TTL
55%
88-71-2
46%
69-81-9
43%
69-90-2
46%
69-81-10
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