CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
14-5-0 | Road
4
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
8-9-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 3.86 | 0.871 | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.72 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.86
GAA
Ldr 3.72
0.871
Save %
Ldr 0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
76%
BLUE JACKETS
24%
HURRICANES
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
CAR By 1 goal
16.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
15.6%
CBJ By 1 goal
18.6%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
21.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.31
CAROLINA
Columbus
3.6
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
24% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
CBJ @ CAR
1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026
CAR @ CBJ
5 - 2
Mar 17, 2026
CAR @ CBJ
1 - 5
Dec 9, 2025
CBJ @ CAR
1 - 4
Jan 23, 2025
CBJ @ CAR
4 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+83.5% more
Columbus: 18.2
vs
Carolina: 9.9
Hits (L5)
+73.6% more
Columbus: 23.4
vs
Carolina: 13.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+20.9% more
Columbus: 35.5
vs
Carolina: 29.4
Power Play % (L5)
+11.1%
Columbus: 39.1%
vs
Carolina: 28.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.3
4
CBJ Score
3.6
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.2 / 9.9
19.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
48.5 / 55.0
39.1 / 60.9
Hits
23.4 / 13.5
16.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
39.1 / 28.0
20.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
35.5 / 29.4
32.0 / 36.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 5.1
9.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
CAR
CBJ
CAR
ML
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
100%
4-0
TTL
50%
1-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-2
25%
1-3
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