EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
13-9-0 | Road
0
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
15-7-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
40%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
60%
OILERS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
19.6%
EDM By 2-3 goals
31.6%
VGK By 1 goal
10.9%
VGK By 2-3 goals
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3.23
EDMONTON
Vegas
2.02
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Loss
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
B
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
VGK @ EDM
5 - 1
Mar 26, 2026
EDM @ VGK
4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025
VGK @ EDM
3 - 4
May 14, 2025
EDM @ VGK
1 - 0
May 12, 2025
VGK @ EDM
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.2% more
Edmonton: 33.0
vs
Vegas: 28.3
Power Play % (L5)
+8.0%
Edmonton: 19.6%
vs
Vegas: 11.6%
Hits (L5)
+56.3% more
Vegas: 17.6
vs
Edmonton: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.2
0
VGK Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.9 / 13.0
22.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
58.0 / 57.9
41.2 / 58.8
Hits
17.6 / 11.2
6.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
1155.0 / 1956.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.3 / 33.0
16.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 5.2
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
EDM
VGK
EDM
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
