WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
19-6-0 | Road
2
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
12-13-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 0.96 | 0.970 | -- |
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 1.92 | 0.946 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.96 Ldr
GAA
1.92
0.970 Ldr
Save %
0.946
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
77%
BLUE JACKETS
23%
CAPITALS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
WSH By 1 goal
19.6%
WSH By 2-3 goals
27.1%
CBJ By 1 goal
13.5%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
11.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
4.42
WASHINGTON
Columbus
3.65
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Capitals
Win
77% Win Prob
B
Sim
Blue Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Capitals (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
C
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.1
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
WSH @ CBJ
2 - 1
Dec 7, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
0 - 2
Nov 24, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 5
Oct 24, 2025
WSH @ CBJ
5 - 1
Oct 4, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.9% more
Washington: 30.3
vs
Columbus: 24.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.3%
Washington: 51.9%
vs
Columbus: 47.6%
Hits (L5)
+23.9% more
Columbus: 23.6
vs
Washington: 19.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.4% more
Columbus: 17.7
vs
Washington: 15.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
4.4
2
CBJ Score
3.7
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.7 / 15.9
15.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
47.6 / 51.9
38.7 / 61.3
Hits
23.6 / 19.1
19.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
32.0 / 24.7
20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.6 / 30.3
33.0 / 37.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 3.2
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
WSH
CBJ
WSH
ML
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
100%
2-0
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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