VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
19-7-0 | Road
3
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
17-10-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 6.39 | 0.824 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.39
GAA
--
0.824
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
61%
OILERS
39%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
VGK By 1 goal
17.4%
VGK By 2-3 goals
18.5%
EDM By 1 goal
17.5%
EDM By 2-3 goals
18.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.48
VEGAS
Edmonton
3.49
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
39% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
VGK @ EDM
5 - 1
Mar 26, 2026
EDM @ VGK
4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025
VGK @ EDM
3 - 4
May 14, 2025
EDM @ VGK
1 - 0
May 12, 2025
VGK @ EDM
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+20.0%
Edmonton: 38.0%
vs
Vegas: 18.0%
Takeaways (L5)
+59.2% more
Vegas: 8.4
vs
Edmonton: 3.4
Hits (L5)
+49.2% more
Vegas: 18.9
vs
Edmonton: 9.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.6% more
Vegas: 15.4
vs
Edmonton: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.5
3
EDM Score
3.5
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 15.4
23.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
55.6 / 54.6
42.4 / 57.6
Hits
9.6 / 18.9
18.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
38.0 / 18.0
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.1 / 30.3
34.0 / 42.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 8.4
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
VGK
EDM
VGK
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
