COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
12-13-0 | Road
1
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
18-10-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Tokarski
#34 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 4.00 | 0.857 | -- |
| Dustin Tokarski | None-None | 1.00 | 0.964 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.964
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
34%
HURRICANES
66%
BLUE JACKETS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CBJ By 1 goal
13.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
11.6%
CAR By 1 goal
19.6%
CAR By 2-3 goals
26.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.92
COLUMBUS
Carolina
3.64
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
66% Win Prob
C
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
B
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
CBJ @ CAR
1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026
CAR @ CBJ
5 - 2
Mar 17, 2026
CAR @ CBJ
1 - 5
Dec 9, 2025
CBJ @ CAR
1 - 4
Jan 23, 2025
CBJ @ CAR
4 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+214.0% more
Carolina: 7.6
vs
Columbus: 2.4
Hits (L5)
+10.4% more
Carolina: 24.7
vs
Columbus: 22.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.1%
Carolina: 49.5%
vs
Columbus: 46.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+32.6% more
Columbus: 16.5
vs
Carolina: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.9
1
CAR Score
3.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.1 / 16.5
11.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
49.5 / 46.4
61.0 / 39.0
Hits
24.7 / 22.4
17.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
2398.0 / 3532.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.8 / 32.3
28.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
7.6 / 2.4
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
CBJ
CAR
CBJ
ML
80%
4-1
50%
1-1
40%
2-3
100%
2-0
ATS
60%
3-2
50%
1-1
80%
4-1
50%
1-1
TTL
0%
0-5
50%
1-1
20%
1-4
0%
0-2
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