SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
15-17-2 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
21-8-3 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Philipp Grubauer
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | None-None | 5.19 | 0.848 | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.19
GAA
--
0.848
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
25%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
75%
KRAKEN
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
76%
Under 0
24%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
SEA By 1 goal
16.6%
SEA By 2-3 goals
16.6%
VGK By 1 goal
18.3%
VGK By 2-3 goals
20.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
2.29
SEATTLE
Vegas
2.49
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
75% Win Prob
B
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
A
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
VGK @ SEA
6 - 2
Apr 15, 2026
SEA @ VGK
1 - 4
Apr 9, 2026
VGK @ SEA
3 - 4
Jan 31, 2026
SEA @ VGK
3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025
VGK @ SEA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+114.4% more
Vegas: 7.3
vs
Seattle: 3.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.8% more
Vegas: 16.4
vs
Seattle: 13.8
Power Play % (L5)
+11.0%
Vegas: 27.6%
vs
Seattle: 16.5%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.8% more
Vegas: 28.2
vs
Seattle: 25.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
2.3
2
VGK Score
2.5
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.4 / 13.8
14.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
54.0 / 50.5
46.2 / 53.8
Hits
20.0 / 26.8
12.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
27.6 / 16.5
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.2 / 25.5
34.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
7.3 / 3.4
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
SEA
VGK
SEA
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
NHL's Earliest Start Yields Scoring Surge and Sloppy Play
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Nashville Predators' Early Season: Three Burning Questions After…