Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 5.13 | 0.868 | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 4.01 | 0.879 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.13
GAA
Ldr 4.01
0.868
Save %
Ldr 0.879
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
54%
BLUE JACKETS
46%
BLUES
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
56%
Under 0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
STL By 1 goal
6.9%
STL By 2-3 goals
4.0%
CBJ By 1 goal
17.8%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
36.9%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
1.89
ST. LOUIS
Columbus
3.82
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
46% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.9
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
CBJ @ STL
5 - 3
Nov 1, 2025
STL @ CBJ
2 - 3
Sep 21, 2025
STL @ CBJ
1 - 4
Jan 11, 2025
CBJ @ STL
2 - 1
Jan 4, 2025
STL @ CBJ
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+31.7% more
Columbus: 16.2
vs
St. Louis: 12.3
Power Play % (L5)
+21.2%
Columbus: 38.9%
vs
St. Louis: 17.7%
Takeaways (L5)
+19.7% more
Columbus: 5.3
vs
St. Louis: 4.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
St. Louis: 52.9%
vs
Columbus: 51.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
1.9
4
CBJ Score
3.8
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 12.3
24.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
51.2 / 52.9
44.6 / 55.4
Hits
17.7 / 19.0
14.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
38.9 / 17.7
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.1 / 27.8
39.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 4.5
9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
STL
CBJ
STL
ML
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0
75%
3-1
ATS
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
TTL
50%
1-1
33%
1-2-1
0%
0-2
33%
1-2-1