ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
22-21-4 | Road
5
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
29-14-3 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 3.69 | 0.875 | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 3.82 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.69 Ldr
GAA
3.82
0.875 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
34%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
66%
BLUES
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
STL By 1 goal
10.4%
STL By 2-3 goals
7.4%
VGK By 1 goal
19.6%
VGK By 2-3 goals
32.3%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
2.45
ST. LOUIS
Vegas
3.73
VEGAS
Simulated Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
66% Win Prob
C
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.3
C
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
STL @ VGK
2 - 4
Jan 2, 2026
VGK @ STL
3 - 4
Nov 15, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 1
Jan 23, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 2
Jan 20, 2025
STL @ VGK
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+120.9% more
Vegas: 6.8
vs
St. Louis: 3.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+17.6% more
Vegas: 15.3
vs
St. Louis: 13.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.4% more
Vegas: 31.8
vs
St. Louis: 27.6
Power Play % (L5)
+9.3%
Vegas: 35.2%
vs
St. Louis: 25.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
2.5
5
VGK Score
3.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 13.0
13.0 / 26.0
Faceoff %
44.4 / 55.2
48.6 / 51.4
Hits
22.6 / 27.3
22.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
35.2 / 25.9
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
31.8 / 27.6
32.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
6.8 / 3.1
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
STL
VGK
STL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points