COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
22-18-7 | Road
5
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
30-16-2 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Chris Tanev
#8 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 1.00 | 0.966 | -- |
| Chris Tanev | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00
GAA
--
0.966
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
39%
MAPLE LEAFS
61%
BLUE JACKETS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TOR 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
CBJ By 1 goal
17.2%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
18.1%
TOR By 1 goal
17.7%
TOR By 2-3 goals
19.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3.14
COLUMBUS
Toronto
3.19
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Maple Leafs
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Maple Leafs (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
B
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
TOR @ CBJ
2 - 1
Nov 20, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
3 - 2
Oct 29, 2025
TOR @ CBJ
3 - 6
Apr 5, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
0 - 5
Jan 22, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+38.5%
Toronto: 55.6%
vs
Columbus: 17.1%
Hits (L5)
+20.9% more
Toronto: 20.2
vs
Columbus: 16.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.6%
Toronto: 49.0%
vs
Columbus: 39.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.8% more
Toronto: 30.6
vs
Columbus: 28.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.1
5
TOR Score
3.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 21.0
11.0 / 25.0
Faceoff %
49.0 / 39.4
61.5 / 38.5
Hits
20.2 / 16.7
18.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
5555.0 / 1705.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.6 / 28.1
29.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 5.0
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CBJ
TOR
CBJ
ML
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0
ATS
0%
0-4
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
TTL
100%
4-0
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
0%
0-2
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