Home / NFL Projections NFL / Eagles @ Rams PHI @ LAR

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

8-2  |  Road

37
FINAL
Sun, Nov 24 • 8:20 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

5-5  |  Home

20
Key Game
Byron Young
KEY GAME

Byron Young

#94 | Defensive Tackle
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Byron Young None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
80%
📊
RAMS
20%
EAGLES --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
50.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.1
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.1 points (Philadelphia)
EaglesPHI (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

74.2%

Rams Cover

25.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around PHI -9.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-6 points

15.7%

PHI By 7-13 points

19.7%

LAR By 1-6 points

11.4%

LAR By 7-13 points

7.9%

AI Model Projected Score
29.83
PHILADELPHIA
20.72
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
24
PHILADELPHIA
27
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
80% Win Prob
A
Sim Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.1
C
Sim Rams (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 50.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 4, 2026 LAR @ PHI 24 - 20
Sep 21, 2025 LAR @ PHI 26 - 33
Jan 19, 2025 LAR @ PHI 22 - 28
Nov 24, 2024 PHI @ LAR 37 - 20
Oct 8, 2023 PHI @ LAR 23 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +53.8% more
Philadelphia: 203.4 vs Los Angeles: 94.0
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +18.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.3
Time of Possession (L5) +10.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Total Yards (L5) +8.8% more
Philadelphia: 395.4 vs Los Angeles: 360.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 29.8 37
LAR Score 20.7 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.4 / 22.3 23.0 / 24.0
Net Passing Yards 266.7 / 192.0 198.0 / 167.0
Rushing Yards 94.0 / 203.4 92.0 / 314.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.6
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards 360.7 / 395.4 290.0 / 481.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 0.8 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 6.1 / 5.9 4.9 / 7.1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
PHI
LAR
PHI
ML
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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