Home / NFL Projections NFL / Eagles @ Ravens PHI @ BAL

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

9-2  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sun, Dec 1 • 4:25 PM ET
M&T Bank Stadium
View Odds Details →

BALTIMORE

RAVENSBAL

8-4  |  Home

19
Key Game
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
@
Rasheen Ali
KEY GAME

Rasheen Ali

#26 | Running Back
Player
Braden Mann None-None
Rasheen Ali None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
69%
📊
RAVENS
31%
EAGLES --
RAVENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
64.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Philadelphia)
EaglesPHI (-3.5) 0 RavensBAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

53.4%

Ravens Cover

46.6%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around PHI -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-6 points

16.7%

PHI By 7-13 points

16.3%

BAL By 1-6 points

16.1%

BAL By 7-13 points

14.4%

AI Model Projected Score
32.88
PHILADELPHIA
31.7
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
24
PHILADELPHIA
27
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
69% Win Prob
C
Sim Ravens Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.2
C
Sim Ravens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 64.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2024 PHI @ BAL 24 - 19
Oct 18, 2020 BAL @ PHI 30 - 28
Dec 18, 2016 PHI @ BAL 26 - 27
Sep 16, 2012 BAL @ PHI 23 - 24
Nov 23, 2008 PHI @ BAL 7 - 36
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +32.8% more
Philadelphia: 240.3 vs Baltimore: 161.5
First Downs (L5) +12.5% more
Philadelphia: 22.9 vs Baltimore: 20.0
Total Yards (L5) +8.5% more
Philadelphia: 423.9 vs Baltimore: 387.8
Time of Possession (L5) +8.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.6 vs Baltimore: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 32.9 24
BAL Score 31.7 19
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.0 / 22.9 24.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards 226.3 / 183.6 206.0 / 112.0
Rushing Yards 161.5 / 240.3 166.0 / 140.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.5 0.4 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 387.8 / 423.9 372.0 / 252.0
Turnovers 0.8 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 6.7 / 6.3 5.2 / 4.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
BAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
BAL Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
PHI
BAL
PHI
ML
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
ATS
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0-1
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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