Home / NFL Projections NFL / Packers @ Seahawks GB @ SEA

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

9-4  |  Road

30
FINAL
Sun, Dec 15 • 8:20 PM ET
Lumen Field
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

8-5  |  Home

13
Key Game
Daniel Whelan
KEY GAME

Daniel Whelan

#19 | Punter
@
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
Player
Daniel Whelan None-None
Michael Dickson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PACKERS
58%
📊
SEAHAWKS
42%
PACKERS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 30%
Under 0 70%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.4
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.4 points (Green Bay)
PackersGB (-3.5) 0 SeahawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Packers Cover

74.8%

Seahawks Cover

25.2%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GB -9.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)

GB By 1-6 points

15.6%

GB By 7-13 points

19.7%

SEA By 1-6 points

11.2%

SEA By 7-13 points

7.7%

AI Model Projected Score
29.12
GREEN BAY
19.76
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
23
GREEN BAY
27
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Packers Win
58% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Packers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.4
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 48.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2025 SEA @ GB 7 - 20
Dec 15, 2024 GB @ SEA 30 - 13
Nov 14, 2021 SEA @ GB 0 - 17
Jan 12, 2020 SEA @ GB 23 - 28
Nov 15, 2018 GB @ SEA 24 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Yards Per Play (L5) +16.5% more
Green Bay: 6.6 vs Seattle: 5.5
Turnovers (L5) +37.0% more
Seattle: 1.1 vs Green Bay: 0.7
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +8.0% more
Seattle: 0.4 vs Green Bay: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 29.1 30
SEA Score 19.8 13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.9 / 19.1 14.0 / 21.0
Net Passing Yards 221.6 / 225.2 128.0 / 229.0
Rushing Yards 112.9 / 121.9 80.0 / 140.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.31 / 0.42
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.45 / 0.55
Total Yards 334.5 / 347.1 208.0 / 369.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 0.7 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.5 / 6.6 3.7 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
SEA Advantage
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
GB
SEA
GB
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
50% 1-1-2
0% 0-3-1
50% 1-1-2
33% 1-2-1
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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