CLEVELAND
BROWNSCLE
3-13 | Road
10
BALTIMORE
RAVENSBAL
11-5 | Home
35
Key Game
KEY GAME
Tylan Wallace
#16 | Wide Receiver@
KEY GAME
Nate Wiggins
#2 | Cornerback| Player | |
|---|---|
| Tylan Wallace | None-None |
| Nate Wiggins | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BROWNS
9%
RAVENS
91%
BROWNS
--
RAVENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (Baltimore)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around BAL -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)
CLE By 1-6 points
14.4%
CLE By 7-13 points
11.6%
BAL By 1-6 points
16.9%
BAL By 7-13 points
18.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
18.53
CLEVELAND
Baltimore
23.11
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
Cleveland
23
CLEVELAND
Baltimore
20
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Ravens
Win
91% Win Prob
A
Sim
Browns
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Ravens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.6
A
Sim
Browns (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 41.6
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 43.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
BAL @ CLE
23 - 16
Sep 14, 2025
CLE @ BAL
17 - 41
Jan 4, 2025
CLE @ BAL
10 - 35
Oct 27, 2024
BAL @ CLE
24 - 29
Nov 12, 2023
CLE @ BAL
33 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+75.5% more
Baltimore: 206.0
vs
Cleveland: 117.4
Yards Per Play (L5)
+56.0% more
Baltimore: 6.8
vs
Cleveland: 4.4
Total Yards (L5)
+37.6% more
Baltimore: 416.2
vs
Cleveland: 302.4
First Downs (L5)
+28.0% more
Baltimore: 23.9
vs
Cleveland: 18.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
18.5
10
BAL Score
23.1
35
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
23.9 / 18.7
20.0 / 13.0
Net Passing Yards
210.1 / 185.0
217.0 / 174.0
Rushing Yards
206.0 / 117.4
220.0 / 56.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.5 / 0.3
0.5 / 0.33
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards
416.2 / 302.4
437.0 / 230.0
Turnovers
0.5 / 3.0
0.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play
6.8 / 4.4
6.5 / 4.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +2.1
BAL
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: -3.5
ATS +/-: +2.1
BAL
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: +3.6
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
CLE
BAL
CLE
ML
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
ATS
33%
1-2-1
50%
2-2
100%
3-0-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
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