Home / NFL Projections NFL / Packers @ Eagles GB @ PHI

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

11-6  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sun, Jan 12 • 4:30 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

14-3  |  Home

22
Key Game
Daniel Whelan
KEY GAME

Daniel Whelan

#19 | Punter
@
Jake Elliott
KEY GAME

Jake Elliott

#4 | Place kicker
Player
Daniel Whelan None-None
Jake Elliott None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PACKERS
28%
📊
EAGLES
72%
PACKERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
60.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 47%
Under 0 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.9
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.9 points (Philadelphia)
PackersGB (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Packers Cover

33.8%

Eagles Cover

66.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -5.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

GB By 1-6 points

13.6%

GB By 7-13 points

10.5%

PHI By 1-6 points

16.7%

PHI By 7-13 points

18.9%

AI Model Projected Score
27.44
GREEN BAY
33.31
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
20
GREEN BAY
27
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Eagles Win
72% Win Prob
B
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.9
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 60.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 PHI @ GB 10 - 7
Jan 12, 2025 GB @ PHI 10 - 22
Sep 6, 2024 GB @ PHI 29 - 34
Nov 27, 2022 GB @ PHI 33 - 40
Dec 6, 2020 PHI @ GB 16 - 30
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +52.2% more
Green Bay: 1.1 vs Philadelphia: 0.5
Yards Per Play (L5) +11.0% more
Green Bay: 5.8 vs Philadelphia: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 27.4 10
PHI Score 33.3 22
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.9 / 19.9 16.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards 199.8 / 197.5 121.0 / 195.0
Rushing Yards 142.0 / 149.9 169.0 / 107.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.18 / 0.54
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards 341.7 / 347.4 290.0 / 302.0
Turnovers 0.5 / 1.1 0.0 / 4.0
Yards Per Play 5.2 / 5.8 5.1 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
GB
PHI
GB
ML
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
0% 0-3-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2-1
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Bengals Defender Exposes Malik Willis's Pre-Throw Tic Before Dol…
bleacherreport 0 minutes ago
Eagles Receiver Dontayvion Wicks Added to Injury Report with Ham…
sportingnews 0 minutes ago
Ravens' Gamble on Cam Jurgens: A Trade That Demands Two Grades
si 5 hours, 43 minutes ago
Dolphins' Rebuild Philosophy: Why Miami Must Resist the Urge to …
dolphinstalk 23 hours, 48 minutes ago
Eagles' Injury Woes Mount: 11 Players Listed as Team Prepares fo…
yahoo 23 hours, 52 minutes ago