Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Eagles LAR @ PHI

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

10-7  |  Road

22
FINAL
Sun, Jan 19 • 3:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

14-3  |  Home

28
Key Game
Xavier Smith
KEY GAME

Xavier Smith

#19 | Wide Receiver
@
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
Player
Xavier Smith None-None
Braden Mann None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
23%
📊
EAGLES
77%
RAMS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
56.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 42%
Under 0 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.7
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.7 points (Philadelphia)
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

29.1%

Eagles Cover

70.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -7.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

LAR By 1-6 points

12.4%

LAR By 7-13 points

9.0%

PHI By 1-6 points

16.2%

PHI By 7-13 points

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
24.52
LOS ANGELES
32.21
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
27
LOS ANGELES
23
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Eagles Win
77% Win Prob
B
Sim Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.7
D
Sim Rams (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 56.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 4, 2026 LAR @ PHI 24 - 20
Sep 21, 2025 LAR @ PHI 26 - 33
Jan 19, 2025 LAR @ PHI 22 - 28
Nov 24, 2024 PHI @ LAR 37 - 20
Oct 8, 2023 PHI @ LAR 23 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +55.4% more
Philadelphia: 151.0 vs Los Angeles: 97.2
First Downs (L5) +11.6% more
Philadelphia: 19.3 vs Los Angeles: 17.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +21.4% more
Los Angeles: 220.8 vs Philadelphia: 173.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 24.5 22
PHI Score 32.2 28
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.3 / 17.3 16.0 / 18.0
Net Passing Yards 173.5 / 220.8 65.0 / 291.0
Rushing Yards 151.0 / 97.2 285.0 / 111.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.4 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.49
Total Yards 324.5 / 318.0 350.0 / 402.0
Turnovers 0.4 / 0.4 0.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.2 / 5.6 5.7 / 5.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
LAR
PHI
LAR
ML
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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