Home / NFL Projections NFL / Titans @ Broncos TEN @ DEN

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

0-0  |  Road

12
FINAL
Sun, Sep 7 • 4:05 PM ET
Empower Field at Mile High
View Odds Details →

DENVER

BRONCOSDEN

0-0  |  Home

20
Key Game
John Franklin-Myers
KEY GAME

John Franklin-Myers

#91 | Defensive End
@
Jeremy Crawshaw
KEY GAME

Jeremy Crawshaw

#16 | Punter
Player
John Franklin-Myers None-None
Jeremy Crawshaw None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
TITANS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Denver)
TitansTEN (-3.5) 0 BroncosDEN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

45.1%

Broncos Cover

54.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DEN -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)

TEN By 1-6 points

15.8%

TEN By 7-13 points

14.0%

DEN By 1-6 points

16.8%

DEN By 7-13 points

16.6%

AI Model Projected Score
21.22
TENNESSEE
22.94
DENVER
Simulated Score
20
TENNESSEE
24
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.7
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 44.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 7, 2025 TEN @ DEN 12 - 20
Nov 13, 2022 DEN @ TEN 10 - 17
Sep 14, 2020 TEN @ DEN 16 - 14
Oct 13, 2019 TEN @ DEN 0 - 16
Dec 11, 2016 DEN @ TEN 10 - 13
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +74.5% more
Tennessee: 1.8 vs Denver: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEN Score 21.2 12
DEN Score 22.9 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.2 / 18.1 20.0 / 7.0
Net Passing Yards 216.5 / 218.7 166.0 / 62.0
Rushing Yards 108.2 / 101.2 151.0 / 71.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.4 / 0.14
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards 324.7 / 319.9 317.0 / 133.0
Turnovers 0.5 / 1.8 4.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.6 / 5.3 4.5 / 2.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEN
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
DEN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -4.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
DEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -4.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.5
DEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
TEN
DEN
TEN
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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