Home / NFL Projections NFL / 49ers @ Seahawks SF @ SEA

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

0-0  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sun, Sep 7 • 4:05 PM ET
Lumen Field
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

0-0  |  Home

13
Key Game
Isaac Guerendo
KEY GAME

Isaac Guerendo

#31 | Running Back
@
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
Player
Isaac Guerendo None-None
Michael Dickson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
0%
📊
SEAHAWKS
100%
49ERS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.4
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.4 points (San Francisco)
49ersSF (-3.5) 0 SeahawksSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

64.9%

Seahawks Cover

35.1%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SF -5.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-6 points

16.8%

SF By 7-13 points

18.7%

SEA By 1-6 points

13.9%

SEA By 7-13 points

10.9%

AI Model Projected Score
24.06
SAN FRANCISCO
18.69
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
27
SAN FRANCISCO
20
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 49ers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 49ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.4
D
Sim 49ers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 42.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 SF @ SEA 6 - 41
Jan 3, 2026 SEA @ SF 13 - 3
Sep 7, 2025 SF @ SEA 17 - 13
Nov 17, 2024 SEA @ SF 20 - 17
Oct 10, 2024 SF @ SEA 36 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +54.4% more
San Francisco: 2.0 vs Seattle: 0.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +29.7% more
San Francisco: 288.5 vs Seattle: 202.9
First Downs (L5) +25.6% more
San Francisco: 22.8 vs Seattle: 17.0
Total Yards (L5) +21.1% more
San Francisco: 394.1 vs Seattle: 311.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 24.1 17
SEA Score 18.7 13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.0 / 22.8 14.0 / 24.0
Net Passing Yards 202.9 / 288.5 146.0 / 265.0
Rushing Yards 108.0 / 105.6 84.0 / 119.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.3 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.37 / 0.63
Total Yards 311.0 / 394.1 230.0 / 384.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 2.0 2.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.6 / 6.2 4.6 / 5.3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
SEA
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
SF
SEA
SF
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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