ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
23-36 | Road
4
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
30-28 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Soderstrom
#21 | Left Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Mason Fluharty
#68 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Soderstrom | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Mason Fluharty | None-None | 3.33 | -- | 1.1 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.33
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
BLUE JAYS
0%
ATHLETICS
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.7
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.7 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -3.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
ATH By 1-2 runs
8.5%
ATH By 3-4 runs
4.0%
TOR By 1-2 runs
16.9%
TOR By 3-4 runs
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
2.59
ATHLETICS
Toronto
6.33
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Toronto
6
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.7
D
Sim
Blue Jays (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
TOR @ ATH
0 - 2
Sep 8, 2026
TOR @ ATH
4 - 2
Sep 7, 2026
TOR @ ATH
5 - 6
Mar 29, 2026
ATH @ TOR
2 - 5
Mar 28, 2026
ATH @ TOR
7 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Toronto
TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.719
▲
OPS
.692
194
▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+109.7% more
Toronto: 8.6
vs
Athletics: 4.1
Home Runs (L5)
+45.5% more
Toronto: 2.6
vs
Athletics: 1.8
Total Bases (L5)
+31.3% more
Toronto: 21.1
vs
Athletics: 16.1
Hits (L5)
+25.8% more
Toronto: 11.3
vs
Athletics: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
2.6
4
TOR Score
6.3
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.2
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
11.3 / 9.0
13.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
2.6 / 1.8
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 4.1
14.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
21.1 / 16.1
20.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.5 / 4.8
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
ATH
TOR
ATH
ML
46%
74-87
59%
95-67
50%
80-80
54%
87-74
ATS
56%
90-71
52%
84-78
49%
79-81
50%
81-80
TTL
51%
80-76-5
54%
84-73-5
45%
70-85-5
42%
66-90-5
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