Home / MLB Projections MLB / Rockies @ Mets COL @ NYM

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

9-49  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Jun 1 • 1:40 PM ET
Citi Field
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

METSNYM

36-22  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Zach Agnos
STARTING PITCHER

Zach Agnos

#36 | Relief Pitcher
@
Luis Torrens
STARTING PITCHER

Luis Torrens

#13 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Zach Agnos None-None 1.59 -- 1.0 --
Luis Torrens None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
1.59 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
100%
📊
METS
0%
ROCKIES --
METS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 MetsNYM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

30.6%

Mets Cover

69.4%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYM -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)

COL By 1-2 runs

13.5%

COL By 3-4 runs

7.7%

NYM By 1-2 runs

19.6%

NYM By 3-4 runs

18.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.02
COLORADO
4.05
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
COLORADO
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mets (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Mets (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 7, 2026 NYM @ COL 2 - 6
May 6, 2026 NYM @ COL 10 - 5
May 4, 2026 NYM @ COL 4 - 2
Apr 26, 2026 COL @ NYM 3 - 1
Apr 24, 2026 COL @ NYM 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
New York NYM
162
Games Played
162
4.64 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.254 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.322 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.417 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.395
.739 ▲
OPS
.705
180
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +130.0% more
New York: 2.1 vs Colorado: 0.8
Total Bases (L5) +101.6% more
New York: 17.3 vs Colorado: 8.6
Hits (L5) +70.8% more
New York: 9.1 vs Colorado: 5.3
Strikeouts (L5) +41.4% more
New York: 8.9 vs Colorado: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 2.0 3
NYM Score 4.1 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.1 / 5.3 5.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 2.1 / 0.8 3.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.9 / 6.3 8.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 17.3 / 8.6 15.0 / 11.0
Walks 3.9 / 3.0 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
NYM Advantage
74-88-0 (45.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
COL
NYM
COL
ML
50% 79-80
60% 97-64
48% 76-83
55% 88-73
ATS
58% 93-66
60% 97-64
49% 78-81
52% 83-78
TTL
55% 80-66-13
60% 93-62-6
51% 74-72-13
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 0 minutes ago
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
yahoo 5 hours, 49 minutes ago
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
yahoo 5 hours, 58 minutes ago
Yankees' Faithful Boo as Another Season Ends in Disappointment: …
bleacherreport 6 hours, 3 minutes ago
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
newsweek 17 hours, 47 minutes ago