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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

38-21  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Jun 1 • 2:10 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

31-28  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Tyler Holton
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Holton

#87 | Relief Pitcher
@
Michael Massey
STARTING PITCHER

Michael Massey

#19 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tyler Holton None-None 3.51 -- 1.0 1
Michael Massey None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.51 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
ROYALS
100%
TIGERS --
ROYALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Detroit)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 RoyalsKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

59.0%

Royals Cover

41.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-2 runs

19.5%

DET By 3-4 runs

16.1%

KC By 1-2 runs

16.5%

KC By 3-4 runs

10.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.77
DETROIT
2.86
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
4
DETROIT
6
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Royals Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.9
D
Sim Royals (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 DET @ KC 7 - 11
Aug 22, 2026 DET @ KC 1 - 3
Aug 21, 2026 DET @ KC 2 - 5
Jul 26, 2026 KC @ DET 5 - 4
Jul 25, 2026 KC @ DET 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Kansas City KC
162
Games Played
162
4.46 ▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .247
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.720 ▲
OPS
.718
181 ▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +54.0% more
Detroit: 0.9 vs Kansas City: 0.3
Home Runs (Season) +6.1% more
Detroit: 181.0 vs Kansas City: 170.0
Runs per Game (Season) +4.5% more
Detroit: 4.5 vs Kansas City: 4.3
On-Base Pct (Season) +0.4%
Detroit: 32.0% vs Kansas City: 31.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 3.8 1
KC Score 2.9 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.2 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.7 / 6.2 9.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 0.9 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.8 / 8.3 10.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 10.4 / 10.0 10.0 / 8.0
Walks 2.8 / 2.2 3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
10%MONEY90%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
DET
KC
DET
ML
55% 89-72
54% 86-73
56% 90-70
54% 87-73
ATS
57% 91-70
64% 101-58
58% 93-67
57% 91-69
TTL
58% 90-64-7
46% 69-81-9
54% 83-70-7
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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