CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
18-39 | Road
2
BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
20-36 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Yennier Cano
#78 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | None-None | 3.67 | -- | 6.0 | 3 |
| Yennier Cano | None-None | 4.74 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.67 Ldr
ERA
4.74
--
WHIP
--
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
ORIOLES
0%
WHITE SOX
--
ORIOLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Baltimore)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BAL -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)
CHW By 1-2 runs
14.5%
CHW By 3-4 runs
8.7%
BAL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
BAL By 3-4 runs
17.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.58
CHICAGO
Baltimore
4.26
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Baltimore
5
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Orioles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orioles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Orioles (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.7
D
Sim
Orioles (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 1, 2026
CHW @ BAL
1 - 6
Jun 30, 2026
CHW @ BAL
9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
CHW @ BAL
8 - 2
Apr 8, 2026
BAL @ CHW
5 - 3
Apr 7, 2026
BAL @ CHW
4 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Baltimore
BAL
1
Games Played
▲
161
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.826
▲
OPS
.711
1
Home Runs
▲
199
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+19800.0% more
Baltimore: 199.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+16.1% more
Baltimore: 10.3
vs
Chicago: 8.9
Hits (L5)
+10.8% more
Baltimore: 8.9
vs
Chicago: 8.1
Runs per Game (Season)
+25.7% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Baltimore: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
2.6
2
BAL Score
4.3
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.9 / 8.1
5.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.7
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.3 / 8.9
11.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
12.0 / 13.4
13.0 / 10.0
Walks
2.9 / 3.4
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
BAL
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
BAL
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
CHW
BAL
CHW
ML
53%
83-73
49%
81-86
57%
90-69
56%
94-73
ATS
61%
95-60-1
59%
99-68
57%
90-68-1
56%
93-74
TTL
54%
81-70-5
58%
96-69-2
51%
78-75-6
51%
84-81-2
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