ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
23-34 | Road
7
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
28-28 | Home
11
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brendon Little
#54 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 3.72 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Brendon Little | None-None | 1.40 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.72
ERA
Ldr 1.40
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
BLUE JAYS
0%
ATHLETICS
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.4
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.4 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -6.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
ATH By 1-2 runs
3.0%
ATH By 3-4 runs
1.0%
TOR By 1-2 runs
9.6%
TOR By 3-4 runs
15.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
0.88
ATHLETICS
Toronto
7.24
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Toronto
6
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -6.4
D
Sim
Blue Jays (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
TOR @ ATH
0 - 2
Sep 8, 2026
TOR @ ATH
4 - 2
Sep 7, 2026
TOR @ ATH
5 - 6
Mar 29, 2026
ATH @ TOR
2 - 5
Mar 28, 2026
ATH @ TOR
7 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Toronto
TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.719
▲
OPS
.692
194
▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+106.0% more
Toronto: 1.8
vs
Athletics: 0.7
Strikeouts (L5)
+76.6% more
Toronto: 10.2
vs
Athletics: 5.8
Total Bases (L5)
+60.0% more
Toronto: 17.5
vs
Athletics: 11.0
Hits (L5)
+50.0% more
Toronto: 10.4
vs
Athletics: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
0.9
7
TOR Score
7.2
11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.4 / 6.9
15.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 0.7
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 5.8
8.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
17.5 / 11.0
24.0 / 19.0
Walks
2.2 / 3.9
4.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
ATH
TOR
ATH
ML
46%
74-87
59%
95-67
50%
80-80
54%
87-74
ATS
56%
90-71
52%
84-78
49%
79-81
50%
81-80
TTL
51%
80-76-5
54%
84-73-5
45%
70-85-5
42%
66-90-5
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