SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
31-24 | Road
3
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
36-20 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Landen Roupp
#65 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landen Roupp | None-None | 3.54 | -- | 4.0 | 7 |
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 3.65 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.54 Ldr
ERA
3.65
--
WHIP
--
4.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
7 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
TIGERS
0%
GIANTS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
SF By 1-2 runs
16.7%
SF By 3-4 runs
11.1%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.5%
DET By 3-4 runs
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
3.87
SAN FRANCISCO
Detroit
4.72
DETROIT
Simulated Score
San Francisco
3
SAN FRANCISCO
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
DET @ SF
3 - 1
Aug 8, 2026
DET @ SF
8 - 0
Aug 7, 2026
DET @ SF
2 - 5
May 28, 2025
SF @ DET
3 - 4
May 27, 2025
SF @ DET
1 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.400
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.706
OPS
▲
.720
178
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+49.8% more
Detroit: 11.4
vs
San Francisco: 7.6
Home Runs (L5)
+30.0% more
Detroit: 0.6
vs
San Francisco: 0.3
Hits (L5)
+22.5% more
Detroit: 6.9
vs
San Francisco: 5.6
Walks (L5)
+11.7% more
Detroit: 1.8
vs
San Francisco: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
3.9
3
DET Score
4.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.7
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.9 / 5.6
7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 9.5
8.0 / 16.0
Total Bases
11.4 / 7.6
9.0 / 16.0
Walks
1.8 / 1.6
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SF
DET
SF
ML
54%
86-73
49%
79-81
54%
87-73
53%
85-75
ATS
64%
101-58
62%
100-60
57%
91-69
52%
83-77
TTL
46%
69-81-9
55%
82-68-10
46%
69-81-10
46%
68-81-11
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