SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
31-22 | Road
1
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
34-20 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Willy Adames
#2 | Shortstop@
STARTING PITCHER
Brenan Hanifee
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Brenan Hanifee | None-None | 3.16 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.16
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
TIGERS
0%
GIANTS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
SF By 1-2 runs
16.4%
SF By 3-4 runs
10.7%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
16.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
4.37
SAN FRANCISCO
Detroit
5.33
DETROIT
Simulated Score
San Francisco
3
SAN FRANCISCO
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
DET @ SF
3 - 1
Aug 8, 2026
DET @ SF
8 - 0
Aug 7, 2026
DET @ SF
2 - 5
May 28, 2025
SF @ DET
3 - 4
May 27, 2025
SF @ DET
1 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.400
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.706
OPS
▲
.720
178
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+91.0% more
Detroit: 1.8
vs
San Francisco: 0.9
Strikeouts (L5)
+31.9% more
Detroit: 10.1
vs
San Francisco: 7.6
Hits (L5)
+19.2% more
Detroit: 6.7
vs
San Francisco: 5.6
Total Bases (L5)
+19.1% more
Detroit: 11.2
vs
San Francisco: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
4.4
1
DET Score
5.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.7 / 5.6
7.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.1 / 7.6
4.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
11.2 / 9.4
8.0 / 5.0
Walks
1.8 / 0.9
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SF
DET
SF
ML
54%
86-73
49%
79-81
54%
87-73
53%
85-75
ATS
64%
101-58
62%
100-60
57%
91-69
52%
83-77
TTL
46%
69-81-9
55%
82-68-10
46%
69-81-10
46%
68-81-11
Contextual Game News
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
LSU's Defense Dominates Early, But Real Test Awaits
Yankees' Cam Schlittler Transforms Curveball into Lethal Weapon,…
Dodgers Predicted to Re-Sign $32M Ace Tarik Skubal, Keeping Rota…
White Sox Turn to Anthony Kay as Opener for Game 2, Aiming to St…