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COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

9-44  |  Road

1
FINAL
Mon, May 26 • 2:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

32-21  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Zach Agnos
STARTING PITCHER

Zach Agnos

#36 | Relief Pitcher
@
Caleb Thielbar
STARTING PITCHER

Caleb Thielbar

#24 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Zach Agnos None-None 1.20 -- 1.0 --
Caleb Thielbar None-None 2.37 -- 0.2 --
None-None W-L None-None
1.20 Ldr ERA 2.37
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
100%
📊
CUBS
0%
ROCKIES --
CUBS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Chicago)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 CubsCHC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

28.3%

Cubs Cover

71.7%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHC -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)

COL By 1-2 runs

12.7%

COL By 3-4 runs

7.1%

CHC By 1-2 runs

19.4%

CHC By 3-4 runs

18.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.62
COLORADO
5.91
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
COLORADO
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cubs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cubs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cubs (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.3
D
Sim Cubs (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 17, 2026 COL @ CHC 6 - 8
Jun 16, 2026 COL @ CHC 5 - 2
Jun 15, 2026 COL @ CHC 4 - 5
Jun 11, 2026 CHC @ COL 9 - 3
Jun 10, 2026 CHC @ COL 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Chicago CHC
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.64 ▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.254 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.322 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.417 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.739 ▲
OPS
.374
180 ▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +186.0% more
Chicago: 2.4 vs Colorado: 0.5
Total Bases (L5) +82.7% more
Chicago: 22.2 vs Colorado: 12.2
Hits (L5) +52.4% more
Chicago: 12.2 vs Colorado: 8.0
Strikeouts (L5) +11.6% more
Chicago: 8.5 vs Colorado: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 3.6 1
CHC Score 5.9 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.7 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 12.2 / 8.0 4.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 2.4 / 0.5 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.5 / 7.6 9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 22.2 / 12.2 5.0 / 8.0
Walks 3.6 / 4.0 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
1%MONEY99%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
CHC Advantage
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
COL
CHC
COL
ML
58% 93-68
60% 97-64
51% 82-79
55% 88-73
ATS
61% 97-63-1
60% 97-64
47% 75-85-1
52% 83-78
TTL
52% 81-74-6
60% 93-62-6
46% 72-83-6
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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