CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
29-22 | Road
0
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
33-20 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Allen
#26 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Javier Baez
#28 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen | None-None | 4.31 | -- | 3.2 | 2 |
| Javier Baez | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.31
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
3.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
0%
TIGERS
100%
GUARDIANS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.4%
CLE By 3-4 runs
18.8%
DET By 1-2 runs
12.9%
DET By 3-4 runs
7.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
5.93
CLEVELAND
Detroit
3.71
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
DET @ CLE
2 - 3
Sep 5, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 0
Sep 4, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 7
Aug 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
0 - 3
Aug 12, 2026
CLE @ DET
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+32.3% more
Cleveland: 8.9
vs
Detroit: 6.1
Total Bases (L5)
+31.5% more
Cleveland: 14.2
vs
Detroit: 9.7
Home Runs (L5)
+31.0% more
Cleveland: 0.8
vs
Detroit: 0.5
Walks (L5)
+25.8% more
Cleveland: 3.7
vs
Detroit: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
5.9
0
DET Score
3.7
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.1
0.0 / 3.0
Hits
6.1 / 8.9
8.0 / 2.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 9.7
13.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
9.7 / 14.2
14.0 / 3.0
Walks
2.8 / 3.7
0.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
54%
86-73
54%
87-74
54%
87-73
49%
80-82
ATS
64%
101-58
58%
93-68
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
55%
88-71-2
46%
69-81-10
43%
69-90-2
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