VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
29-14-4 | Road
4
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
23-21-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 3.26 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.26
--
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
65%
BLUES
35%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
39%
Under 0
61%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
17.9%
VGK By 2-3 goals
19.7%
STL By 1 goal
17.0%
STL By 2-3 goals
17.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.09
VEGAS
St. Louis
2.99
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
65% Win Prob
C
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
C
Sim
Blues (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
STL @ VGK
2 - 4
Jan 2, 2026
VGK @ STL
3 - 4
Nov 15, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 1
Jan 23, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 2
Jan 20, 2025
STL @ VGK
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+50.6% more
Vegas: 6.8
vs
St. Louis: 3.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.1% more
Vegas: 31.9
vs
St. Louis: 27.7
Power Play % (L5)
+6.2%
Vegas: 40.1%
vs
St. Louis: 33.9%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.4% more
St. Louis: 17.3
vs
Vegas: 14.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.1
4
STL Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.3 / 14.5
5.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
53.9 / 45.8
52.6 / 47.4
Hits
23.5 / 22.4
29.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
33.9 / 40.1
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
27.7 / 31.9
17.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 6.8
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
VGK
STL
VGK
ML
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
ATS
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
TTL
33%
1-2-1
20%
1-4
33%
1-2-1
40%
2-3
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points