EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
42-26-5 | Road
3
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
45-20-8 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 3.10 | 0.850 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.10
--
Save %
0.850
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
42%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
58%
OILERS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +0.6 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
EDM By 1 goal
14.5%
EDM By 2-3 goals
12.8%
VGK By 1 goal
19.3%
VGK By 2-3 goals
25.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.66
EDMONTON
Vegas
3.24
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
VGK @ EDM
5 - 1
Mar 26, 2026
EDM @ VGK
4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025
VGK @ EDM
3 - 4
May 14, 2025
EDM @ VGK
1 - 0
May 12, 2025
VGK @ EDM
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+61.5%
Vegas: 71.9%
vs
Edmonton: 10.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+22.2% more
Edmonton: 5.6
vs
Vegas: 4.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.9% more
Edmonton: 33.3
vs
Vegas: 29.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.1% more
Edmonton: 13.9
vs
Vegas: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
2.7
3
VGK Score
3.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.8 / 13.9
6.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
48.5 / 51.2
45.3 / 54.7
Hits
18.4 / 19.7
12.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
71.9 / 10.4
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
29.0 / 33.3
22.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 5.6
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
EDM
VGK
EDM
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
