Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 3.00 | 0.900 | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 9.17 | 0.750 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
9.17
0.900 Ldr
Save %
0.750
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
61%
BLUE JACKETS
39%
AVALANCHE
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
17.5%
COL By 2-3 goals
18.8%
CBJ By 1 goal
17.4%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
18.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.04
COLORADO
Columbus
3.03
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
CBJ @ COL
0 - 4
Oct 16, 2025
COL @ CBJ
4 - 1
Apr 3, 2025
COL @ CBJ
7 - 3
Oct 12, 2024
CBJ @ COL
6 - 4
Apr 1, 2024
COL @ CBJ
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+19.1% more
Colorado: 5.6
vs
Columbus: 4.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.8% more
Colorado: 14.7
vs
Columbus: 13.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.5%
Colorado: 59.0%
vs
Columbus: 52.5%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.1% more
Columbus: 34.5
vs
Colorado: 30.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.0
7
CBJ Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 14.7
9.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
52.5 / 59.0
50.6 / 49.4
Hits
23.2 / 22.1
22.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
17.3 / 18.5
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
34.5 / 30.2
30.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 5.6
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
COL
CBJ
COL
ML
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
67%
2-1