COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
34-31-9 | Road
0
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
46-25-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 5.00 | 0.815 | -- |
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.815
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
37%
MAPLE LEAFS
63%
BLUE JACKETS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
CBJ By 1 goal
19.0%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
23.4%
TOR By 1 goal
15.4%
TOR By 2-3 goals
14.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3.36
COLUMBUS
Toronto
2.93
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Loss
37% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
C
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
TOR @ CBJ
2 - 1
Nov 20, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
3 - 2
Oct 29, 2025
TOR @ CBJ
3 - 6
Apr 5, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
0 - 5
Jan 22, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+32.4% more
Columbus: 4.4
vs
Toronto: 2.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.5% more
Columbus: 33.0
vs
Toronto: 26.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+59.3% more
Toronto: 19.1
vs
Columbus: 12.0
Power Play % (L5)
+9.0%
Toronto: 20.5%
vs
Columbus: 11.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.4
0
TOR Score
2.9
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.1 / 12.0
14.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
55.5 / 51.8
57.8 / 42.2
Hits
24.5 / 22.8
24.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
2049.0 / 1151.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.6 / 33.0
27.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
2.9 / 4.4
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CBJ
TOR
CBJ
ML
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0
ATS
0%
0-4
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
TTL
100%
4-0
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
0%
0-2
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