VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
47-22-8 | Road
2
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
47-27-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 1.85 | 0.905 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.85
--
Save %
0.905
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
55%
AVALANCHE
45%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
31.4%
COL By 1 goal
11.0%
COL By 2-3 goals
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
4.11
VEGAS
Colorado
2.92
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
B
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 26, 2026
COL @ VGK
1 - 2
May 24, 2026
COL @ VGK
3 - 5
May 22, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 1
May 20, 2026
VGK @ COL
4 - 2
Apr 11, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+104.1% more
Colorado: 5.5
vs
Vegas: 2.7
Hits (L5)
+62.5% more
Colorado: 22.5
vs
Vegas: 13.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.3% more
Colorado: 33.6
vs
Vegas: 31.0
Power Play % (L5)
+5.1%
Colorado: 19.3%
vs
Vegas: 14.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
4.1
2
COL Score
2.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 14.7
11.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
52.6 / 50.3
52.1 / 47.9
Hits
22.5 / 13.8
27.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
19.3 / 14.2
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.6 / 31.0
36.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 2.7
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
VGK
COL
VGK
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points