WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
50-19-9 | Road
0
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
36-33-9 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Hunter Shepard
#31 | G@
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Shepard | None-None | 7.00 | 0.731 | -- |
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
7.00
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.731
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
71%
BLUE JACKETS
29%
CAPITALS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
WSH By 1 goal
17.9%
WSH By 2-3 goals
19.7%
CBJ By 1 goal
17.0%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
17.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3.41
WASHINGTON
Columbus
3.31
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Capitals
Loss
71% Win Prob
B
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Capitals (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
B
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
WSH @ CBJ
2 - 1
Dec 7, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
0 - 2
Nov 24, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 5
Oct 24, 2025
WSH @ CBJ
5 - 1
Oct 4, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.2% more
Washington: 17.3
vs
Columbus: 15.7
Power Play % (L5)
+4.5%
Washington: 51.2%
vs
Columbus: 46.7%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.6% more
Columbus: 31.3
vs
Washington: 28.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.7%
Columbus: 50.7%
vs
Washington: 45.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.4
0
CBJ Score
3.3
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 17.3
17.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
50.7 / 45.0
44.8 / 55.2
Hits
23.7 / 24.4
22.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
4672.0 / 5122.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.3 / 28.0
26.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
6.8 / 6.4
4.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
WSH
CBJ
WSH
ML
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
100%
2-0
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
1-1
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
TTL
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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