COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
37-33-9 | Road
4
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
50-20-9 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 1.00 | 0.968 | -- |
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 4.00 | 0.826 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
4.00
0.968 Ldr
Save %
0.826
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
31%
CAPITALS
69%
BLUE JACKETS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
CBJ By 1 goal
16.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
17.0%
WSH By 1 goal
18.1%
WSH By 2-3 goals
20.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3.28
COLUMBUS
Washington
3.44
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Loss
69% Win Prob
C
Sim
Capitals
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
B
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.7
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
WSH @ CBJ
2 - 1
Dec 7, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
0 - 2
Nov 24, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 5
Oct 24, 2025
WSH @ CBJ
5 - 1
Oct 4, 2025
CBJ @ WSH
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+29.5% more
Washington: 7.6
vs
Columbus: 5.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.8% more
Washington: 18.6
vs
Columbus: 16.2
Power Play % (L5)
+3.0%
Washington: 34.2%
vs
Columbus: 31.1%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.9% more
Columbus: 29.5
vs
Washington: 26.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.3
4
WSH Score
3.4
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.6 / 16.2
16.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
48.4 / 48.7
61.0 / 39.0
Hits
23.2 / 23.2
32.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
3415.0 / 3114.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.0 / 29.5
31.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
7.6 / 5.9
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CBJ
WSH
CBJ
ML
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
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