EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
0-0-0 | Road
1
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Home
0
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
50%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
50%
OILERS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
19.5%
EDM By 2-3 goals
26.2%
VGK By 1 goal
14.0%
VGK By 2-3 goals
12.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.69
EDMONTON
Vegas
2.01
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
A
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.7
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
VGK @ EDM
5 - 1
Mar 26, 2026
EDM @ VGK
4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025
VGK @ EDM
3 - 4
May 14, 2025
EDM @ VGK
1 - 0
May 12, 2025
VGK @ EDM
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.1% more
Edmonton: 30.5
vs
Vegas: 25.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.3% more
Edmonton: 20.1
vs
Vegas: 18.1
Takeaways (L5)
+10.3% more
Edmonton: 4.4
vs
Vegas: 3.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.5%
Edmonton: 54.2%
vs
Vegas: 45.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
2.7
1
VGK Score
2.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.1 / 20.1
22.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
45.7 / 54.2
53.1 / 46.9
Hits
34.6 / 32.7
50.0 / 46.0
Power Play %
1450.0 / 2169.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.6 / 30.5
24.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 4.4
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
EDM
VGK
EDM
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
