TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
25-27 | Road
5
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
16-35 | Home
10
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Joc Pederson
#3 | Designated Hitter@
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Benintendi
#23 | Designated Hitter| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Andrew Benintendi | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
67%
WHITE SOX
33%
RANGERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
72%
Under 0
28%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.5%
TEX By 3-4 runs
16.1%
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.5%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
3.77
TEXAS
Chicago
2.84
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Texas
5
TEXAS
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
67% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.9
C
Sim
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
TEX @ CHW
4 - 10
Aug 25, 2026
TEX @ CHW
7 - 11
Aug 24, 2026
TEX @ CHW
11 - 2
Jul 22, 2026
CHW @ TEX
4 - 2
Jul 21, 2026
CHW @ TEX
0 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.713
OPS
▲
.826
183
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.5% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+9.9% more
Texas: 7.6
vs
Chicago: 6.8
Walks (L5)
+52.0% more
Chicago: 4.1
vs
Texas: 2.7
Runs per Game (Season)
+44.6% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Texas: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
3.8
5
CHW Score
2.8
10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.6
2.0 / 2.0
Hits
7.5 / 5.4
13.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.8
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.8 / 7.6
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
11.1 / 9.1
24.0 / 11.0
Walks
4.1 / 2.7
3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
TEX
CHW
TEX
ML
49%
81-86
53%
86-76
56%
94-73
57%
91-70
ATS
59%
99-68
57%
92-70
56%
93-74
61%
98-63
TTL
58%
96-69-2
53%
78-70-14
51%
84-81-2
55%
81-66-14
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