NEW YORK
METSNYM
0-0 | Road
3
HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
0-0 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Luis Torrens
#13 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan King
#74 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Torrens | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Bryan King | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
METS
50%
ASTROS
50%
METS
--
ASTROS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around HOU -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
NYM By 1-2 runs
17.3%
NYM By 3-4 runs
11.9%
HOU By 1-2 runs
19.2%
HOU By 3-4 runs
15.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.57
NEW YORK
Houston
4.15
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Astros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Astros (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
C
Sim
Astros (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
HOU @ NYM
6 - 3
Aug 29, 2026
HOU @ NYM
2 - 6
Aug 28, 2026
HOU @ NYM
3 - 1
Mar 29, 2025
NYM @ HOU
1 - 2
Mar 28, 2025
NYM @ HOU
3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYM
vs
Houston
HOU
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.239
▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.310
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.395
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.705
▲
OPS
.582
204
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+25.7% more
Houston: 9.7
vs
New York: 7.7
Home Runs (Season)
+98.0% more
New York: 204.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Home Runs (L5)
+34.0% more
New York: 0.7
vs
Houston: 0.3
Runs per Game (Season)
+30.4% more
New York: 4.3
vs
Houston: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYM Score
3.6
3
HOU Score
4.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.1 / 8.8
3.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.7 / 7.7
11.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
8.9 / 12.5
3.0 / 10.0
Walks
4.9 / 5.9
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
NYM
HOU
NYM
ML
50%
81-82
50%
79-80
47%
77-87
48%
76-83
ATS
56%
91-72
58%
93-66
55%
90-74
49%
78-81
TTL
45%
70-84-9
55%
80-66-13
45%
69-86-9
51%
74-72-13
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